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Postcard from Strasbourg by Richard Steel

“Idle hands are the devil’s workshop and idle lips are his mouthpiece”. This old proverb seemed to sum up a week where bored Members were faced with another threadbare agenda, filling the vacuum with complaints about the intemperate language of others.

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The UK General Election: The tightest and least predictable battle for decades?

In this guest post, Andrew Rawnsley, Chief Political Commentator for the Observer newspaper says that a decisive breakthrough eludes both of the UK's main political parties. According to Rawnsley, it's well-nigh impossible to see a path for either of them to a parliamentary majority. A hung parliament in view?

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L’Analyse du mois de Florence Maisel – Février 2015

Moins d’un mois après les attentats djihadistes qui avaient endeuillé la France et suscité un mouvement d’unité nationale au sein de la classe politique (« l’esprit du 11 janvier »), François Hollande a mis l’accent - lors de sa cinquième conférence de presse - sur le renforcement de la cohésion de la société française, avec par exemple l’élargissement du service civique ou la mise en place d’une réserve citoyenne.

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If you ignore history, it's likely to repeat itself....

The coming UK general election will be a verdict not only on the Cameron-Clegg government, but on the idea of coalition itself. Coalitions have generally had a rocky history. Disraeli famously said that England does not love them (Scotland and Wales, which have seen several since 1997 are a somewhat different matter).

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The art of guessing

When it boils down to it, polling is really a form of educated guesswork. It’s rigorous, reliable and insightful, which is why political parties and companies rely so heavily on it, but at its core it’s about extrapolating data to make an educated guess. This is, in part, why the companies stress that they are snapshot of public opinion, and why politicians always recite the mantra that ‘the only poll that matters is election day’.

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